Your ballot measure voter guide

What a Yes or No vote would do on each statewide measure, with the forecast and our editorial view kept separate.

Descriptions checked against the Secretary of State’s official ballot titles and fair-ballot language on November 1, 2026. Read the linked full texts for complete provisions.

Forecast colors describe likelihood: teal leans toward passage, plum toward failure, neutral means a toss-up. A forecast color is not an endorsement.

Amendment 6

Laws passed by voter initiative

What Yes does: Initiative and referendum become a fundamental right, and the legislature could not weaken those powers. It could change or repeal a voter-passed law only if at least 80% of both chambers agree to send the change to voters. Courts could revise ballot summaries. Current signature thresholds and the simple-majority rule stay.
What No does: Nothing changes.

Official wording excerpt: “expand the initiative and referendum petition process”. Full official ballot wording · Full measure text (PDF).

Expected outcome

Leans toward passing

Expected Yes vote: 54.5%; middle 80% of simulations: 42.9% to 66.2%.

Forecast: Nov 3, 12:24 pm CT. Uses public polling and model assumptions. Polls, uncertainty and model sources →

Our editorial view

Missouri Election recommends Yes.

This is an editorial recommendation, separate from the description and forecast.

Amendment 3

Abortion rights and gender-transition care for minors

What Yes does: The 2024 abortion-rights amendment is repealed. Abortion could be restricted again, with exceptions for emergencies, fetal anomalies, and rape or incest under 12 weeks. Minors would need parental or judicial consent, and public funding of abortion would be barred with limited exceptions. Gender-transition surgery, cross-sex hormones and puberty blockers for minors would be banned in the constitution, with exceptions for specific medical conditions.
What No does: The 2024 amendment stays: abortion remains a constitutional right through fetal viability, and no constitutional ban on transition care for minors is added.

Official wording excerpt: “Repeal the 2024 voter-approved Amendment”. Full official ballot wording · Full measure text (PDF).

Expected outcome

Leans toward failing

Expected Yes vote: 45.9%; middle 80% of simulations: 34.8% to 57.0%.

Forecast: Nov 3, 12:24 pm CT. Uses public polling and model assumptions. Polls, uncertainty and model sources →

Our editorial view

Missouri Election recommends No.

This is an editorial recommendation, separate from the description and forecast.

Amendment 7

A state endowment to replace taxes

What Yes does: The Treasurer invests a permanent state endowment. It cannot be spent until its earnings could replace state taxes; then those taxes end and cannot return except if the fund cannot meet its obligations because of insolvency, a revenue shortfall or program failure. Spending is then capped at 3% of the fund's five-year average value. The measure itself appropriates nothing.
What No does: Nothing changes.

Official wording excerpt: “permanent public endowment fund”. Full official ballot wording · Full measure text (PDF).

Expected outcome

Leans toward failing

Expected Yes vote: 42.1%; middle 80% of simulations: 24.0% to 60.0%.

Forecast: Nov 3, 12:24 pm CT. No public polls are available; the model relies on assumptions rather than polling. Polls, uncertainty and model sources →

Our editorial view

Missouri Election recommends No.

This is an editorial recommendation, separate from the description and forecast.

Amendment 8

Electing and removing county sheriffs

What Yes does: The election of county sheriffs and their duties are written into the constitution. A sheriff could be removed only through a quo warranto action brought by the Attorney General. St. Louis City, St. Louis County and St. Charles County are exempt.
What No does: The existing statutes stay.

Official wording excerpt: “elect a county sheriff”. Full official ballot wording · Full measure text (PDF).

Expected outcome

Leans toward passing

Expected Yes vote: 58.0%; middle 80% of simulations: 40.0% to 76.1%.

Forecast: Nov 3, 12:24 pm CT. No public polls are available; the model relies on assumptions rather than polling. Polls, uncertainty and model sources →

Our editorial view

Missouri Election recommends No.

This is an editorial recommendation, separate from the description and forecast.

Proposition A

The 2025 congressional map

What Yes does: Approves the congressional district boundaries in HB 1, passed by the legislature in 2025.
What No does: Rejects HB 1 and leaves the congressional boundaries enacted in 2022 in place.

Official wording excerpt: “new congressional boundaries”. Full official ballot wording · Full measure text (PDF).

The 2022 map governs the November 2026 general election, according to the Missouri Revisor’s referendum note.

Expected outcome

Leans toward failing

Expected Yes vote: 42.7%; middle 80% of simulations: 31.0% to 54.5%.

Forecast: Nov 3, 12:24 pm CT. Uses public polling and model assumptions. Polls, uncertainty and model sources →

Our editorial view

Missouri Election recommends No.

This is an editorial recommendation, separate from the description and forecast.

All ballot forecasts and detailed sources → · Official Missouri ballot measures