Missouri Election

Polls close in 5 minutes, 7 pm Central, Nov 3

Senate District 11

Not on the ballot in 2026. Senate seats in odd-numbered districts were elected in 2024 and come up again in 2028; the seat is held by a Republican, Joe Nicola.

Every Senate seat.

Current member

Joe Nicola

Joe Nicola (Republican)

In the Senate since 2024. Not on the 2026 ballot: this Senate seat was last elected in 2024.

Committees: Families, Seniors and Health, Vice-Chair; Local Government, Elections and Pensions; Progress and Development; Veterans and Military Affairs; Task Force; and 6 more.

Senator Joe Nicola took the oath of office to serve the people of the 11th Senatorial District on Jan. 8, 2025.

Official senator page

Missouri legislature member pages (house.mo.gov, senate.mo.gov), collected Sep 7, 2026 through the PROMO roster. Whether the member is on the ballot comes from this site’s own incumbent record for the seat.

Where this seat sits

Senate District 11Safest RepublicanSafest Democratic23, two-thirds of the SenateSenate District 11Safest RSafest D23, two-thirds

Every Senate seat from the safest Republican to the safest Democratic, in the forecast of Nov 3, 5:57 pm CT. The heavy rule is two-thirds; hatched seats are not on the ballot this year.

Vote history

40%50%60%70%50%New mapuncontested52.2%47.6%201620182020202220242026 forecast40%50%60%70%50%New mapuncontested52.2%47.6%201620182020202220242026

Democratic share of the two-party vote, which leaves out other candidates. Legislative results: Secretary of State, 2016 to 2024; the dashed line marks the new district map first used in 2022, so earlier points describe different ground. The dotted line is the district’s 2024 lean from the statewide races. Results as of the Nov 3, 2026 update.

Independent forecasts

Other forecasters’ published assessments, kept separate from this site’s model. Sources cover different sets of districts.

State Navigate, Nov 2, 2026
No election (R) · <1% published chance of a Democratic win

Results on the current map

Senate District 11, results since 2022
YearDemocratRepublicanDem votesRep votesOtherDem two-party shareWinner
2024Robert SaulsJoe Nicola33,68037,008047.6%Republican

Secretary of State official results. The two-party share leaves out other candidates.

Earlier results, on the old map

District lines changed in 2022. These 2016 to 2020 results are for the district that carried this number on the previous map, which may cover different ground.

Senate District 11, results before 2022 on the old map
YearDemocratRepublicanDem votesRep votesOtherDem two-party shareWinner
2016John Joseph RizzoBrent Thurston Lasater33,07130,318052.2%Democrat
2020John Joseph Rizzo (inc.)None50,06500UncontestedDemocrat
Sources7ShowHide
  1. Missouri Secretary of State, 2026 general election certified candidate list , accessed Nov 1, 2026.
  2. Missouri Secretary of State, official election results (grand totals, 2016 to 2024) , accessed Nov 1, 2026.
  3. 2024 district leans: Secretary of State precinct results for president, governor and US Senate, allocated to the 2022 House and Senate district plans (Missouri Office of Administration) , accessed Nov 1, 2026.
  4. Ballotpedia, Missouri State Senate elections, 2026 (incumbents, open seats, district pages) , accessed Nov 1, 2026.
  5. State Navigate, published forecast , forecast dated Nov 2, 2026.
  6. On Point Politics, published forecast , forecast dated Nov 1, 2026.
  7. Missouri House (house.mo.gov) and Senate (senate.mo.gov) member pages: name, party, first-elected year, leadership, committees and biography, collected through the PROMO legislator roster (RavBogard/promo-legislators) , accessed Sep 7, 2026.

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