{
 "generated": "2026-11-03T23:57:34+00:00",
 "returns_file": null,
 "status": "pre-returns",
 "contests": {
  "A3": {
   "label": "Amendment 3",
   "kind": "measure",
   "option_a": "yes",
   "option_b": "no",
   "pre_election_level": 0.4586,
   "pre_election_p": 0.3039,
   "projected": 0.4586,
   "p10": 0.3477,
   "p90": 0.5695,
   "p_a_wins": 0.3039,
   "projected_winner": null,
   "tie": false,
   "awaiting": true,
   "min_coverage": 0.05,
   "coverage_basis": "expected 2026 votes: 2024 presidential total x county midterm drop-off",
   "S_mean": 0.0,
   "S_sd": 0.08653921186110027,
   "counted": 0,
   "counted_a": 0,
   "expected": 2622179.136119486,
   "pct_counted": 0.0,
   "complete": false,
   "counties": [
    {
     "county": "Adair",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5164,
     "projected": 0.5159
    },
    {
     "county": "Andrew",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5566,
     "projected": 0.5561
    },
    {
     "county": "Atchison",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5684,
     "projected": 0.5681
    },
    {
     "county": "Audrain",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5519,
     "projected": 0.552
    },
    {
     "county": "Barry",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6699,
     "projected": 0.6702
    },
    {
     "county": "Barton",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.755,
     "projected": 0.7535
    },
    {
     "county": "Bates",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6166,
     "projected": 0.6165
    },
    {
     "county": "Benton",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6009,
     "projected": 0.6001
    },
    {
     "county": "Bollinger",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.7649,
     "projected": 0.763
    },
    {
     "county": "Boone",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.3065,
     "projected": 0.3062
    },
    {
     "county": "Buchanan",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4717,
     "projected": 0.4716
    },
    {
     "county": "Butler",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6468,
     "projected": 0.6466
    },
    {
     "county": "Caldwell",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.61,
     "projected": 0.6092
    },
    {
     "county": "Callaway",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5278,
     "projected": 0.527
    },
    {
     "county": "Camden",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5438,
     "projected": 0.5438
    },
    {
     "county": "Cape Girardeau",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6021,
     "projected": 0.6023
    },
    {
     "county": "Carroll",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6195,
     "projected": 0.619
    },
    {
     "county": "Carter",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.7325,
     "projected": 0.7313
    },
    {
     "county": "Cass",
     "region": "kc",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4871,
     "projected": 0.4868
    },
    {
     "county": "Cedar",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6852,
     "projected": 0.6847
    },
    {
     "county": "Chariton",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6307,
     "projected": 0.6303
    },
    {
     "county": "Christian",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6379,
     "projected": 0.6373
    },
    {
     "county": "Clark",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5714,
     "projected": 0.5714
    },
    {
     "county": "Clay",
     "region": "kc",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.3631,
     "projected": 0.3634
    },
    {
     "county": "Clinton",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5368,
     "projected": 0.5364
    },
    {
     "county": "Cole",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5494,
     "projected": 0.5491
    },
    {
     "county": "Cooper",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5572,
     "projected": 0.5571
    },
    {
     "county": "Crawford",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6555,
     "projected": 0.655
    },
    {
     "county": "Dade",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.7015,
     "projected": 0.7004
    },
    {
     "county": "Dallas",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.666,
     "projected": 0.6656
    },
    {
     "county": "Daviess",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6376,
     "projected": 0.6371
    },
    {
     "county": "De Kalb",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6273,
     "projected": 0.6275
    },
    {
     "county": "Dent",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.7189,
     "projected": 0.7184
    },
    {
     "county": "Douglas",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.7389,
     "projected": 0.7377
    },
    {
     "county": "Dunklin",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.628,
     "projected": 0.6278
    },
    {
     "county": "Franklin",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5797,
     "projected": 0.5794
    },
    {
     "county": "Gasconade",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6517,
     "projected": 0.6515
    },
    {
     "county": "Gentry",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.668,
     "projected": 0.6682
    },
    {
     "county": "Greene",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4828,
     "projected": 0.4828
    },
    {
     "county": "Grundy",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6759,
     "projected": 0.6754
    },
    {
     "county": "Harrison",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.67,
     "projected": 0.6693
    },
    {
     "county": "Henry",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5685,
     "projected": 0.5685
    },
    {
     "county": "Hickory",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6173,
     "projected": 0.6166
    },
    {
     "county": "Holt",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6509,
     "projected": 0.6504
    },
    {
     "county": "Howard",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5531,
     "projected": 0.5528
    },
    {
     "county": "Howell",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6894,
     "projected": 0.6887
    },
    {
     "county": "Iron",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6673,
     "projected": 0.6669
    },
    {
     "county": "Jackson",
     "region": "kc",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.3858,
     "projected": 0.3859
    },
    {
     "county": "Jasper",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6025,
     "projected": 0.602
    },
    {
     "county": "Jefferson",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5044,
     "projected": 0.5043
    },
    {
     "county": "Johnson",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5151,
     "projected": 0.515
    },
    {
     "county": "Kansas City",
     "region": "kc",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.1703,
     "projected": 0.1756
    },
    {
     "county": "Knox",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6776,
     "projected": 0.6774
    },
    {
     "county": "Laclede",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6809,
     "projected": 0.6807
    },
    {
     "county": "Lafayette",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5456,
     "projected": 0.5448
    },
    {
     "county": "Lawrence",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6832,
     "projected": 0.6829
    },
    {
     "county": "Lewis",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6328,
     "projected": 0.6323
    },
    {
     "county": "Lincoln",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.596,
     "projected": 0.5959
    },
    {
     "county": "Linn",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.612,
     "projected": 0.612
    },
    {
     "county": "Livingston",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6224,
     "projected": 0.6224
    },
    {
     "county": "Macon",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6556,
     "projected": 0.6557
    },
    {
     "county": "Madison",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6694,
     "projected": 0.6692
    },
    {
     "county": "Maries",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.7235,
     "projected": 0.7226
    },
    {
     "county": "Marion",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6299,
     "projected": 0.6294
    },
    {
     "county": "McDonald",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6755,
     "projected": 0.6754
    },
    {
     "county": "Mercer",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6949,
     "projected": 0.6945
    },
    {
     "county": "Miller",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6741,
     "projected": 0.6736
    },
    {
     "county": "Mississippi",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6214,
     "projected": 0.6216
    },
    {
     "county": "Moniteau",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6661,
     "projected": 0.6662
    },
    {
     "county": "Monroe",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6553,
     "projected": 0.6548
    },
    {
     "county": "Montgomery",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6278,
     "projected": 0.6279
    },
    {
     "county": "Morgan",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6015,
     "projected": 0.6007
    },
    {
     "county": "New Madrid",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6354,
     "projected": 0.6351
    },
    {
     "county": "Newton",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6674,
     "projected": 0.6676
    },
    {
     "county": "Nodaway",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5569,
     "projected": 0.5567
    },
    {
     "county": "Oregon",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6862,
     "projected": 0.6858
    },
    {
     "county": "Osage",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.7597,
     "projected": 0.7579
    },
    {
     "county": "Ozark",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6897,
     "projected": 0.6891
    },
    {
     "county": "Pemiscot",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5784,
     "projected": 0.5783
    },
    {
     "county": "Perry",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.693,
     "projected": 0.6925
    },
    {
     "county": "Pettis",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5627,
     "projected": 0.5621
    },
    {
     "county": "Phelps",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5701,
     "projected": 0.5696
    },
    {
     "county": "Pike",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6412,
     "projected": 0.6415
    },
    {
     "county": "Platte",
     "region": "kc",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.3522,
     "projected": 0.3521
    },
    {
     "county": "Polk",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6738,
     "projected": 0.6738
    },
    {
     "county": "Pulaski",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5493,
     "projected": 0.5489
    },
    {
     "county": "Putnam",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6686,
     "projected": 0.6685
    },
    {
     "county": "Ralls",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6584,
     "projected": 0.6581
    },
    {
     "county": "Randolph",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5559,
     "projected": 0.556
    },
    {
     "county": "Ray",
     "region": "kc",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5337,
     "projected": 0.5337
    },
    {
     "county": "Reynolds",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6852,
     "projected": 0.6845
    },
    {
     "county": "Ripley",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.7019,
     "projected": 0.7012
    },
    {
     "county": "Saline",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4859,
     "projected": 0.4855
    },
    {
     "county": "Schuyler",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6363,
     "projected": 0.6362
    },
    {
     "county": "Scotland",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6099,
     "projected": 0.6099
    },
    {
     "county": "Scott",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6604,
     "projected": 0.6599
    },
    {
     "county": "Shannon",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.7032,
     "projected": 0.7022
    },
    {
     "county": "Shelby",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.709,
     "projected": 0.7083
    },
    {
     "county": "St. Charles",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4429,
     "projected": 0.4421
    },
    {
     "county": "St. Clair",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6358,
     "projected": 0.6355
    },
    {
     "county": "St. Francois",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5728,
     "projected": 0.5724
    },
    {
     "county": "St. Louis",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.3013,
     "projected": 0.3009
    },
    {
     "county": "St. Louis City",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.1466,
     "projected": 0.1547
    },
    {
     "county": "Ste. Genevieve",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6116,
     "projected": 0.6113
    },
    {
     "county": "Stoddard",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.7142,
     "projected": 0.7136
    },
    {
     "county": "Stone",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6568,
     "projected": 0.6562
    },
    {
     "county": "Sullivan",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6843,
     "projected": 0.6844
    },
    {
     "county": "Taney",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6573,
     "projected": 0.6566
    },
    {
     "county": "Texas",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.7257,
     "projected": 0.7254
    },
    {
     "county": "Vernon",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6132,
     "projected": 0.6131
    },
    {
     "county": "Warren",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5695,
     "projected": 0.5697
    },
    {
     "county": "Washington",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.672,
     "projected": 0.6719
    },
    {
     "county": "Wayne",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6997,
     "projected": 0.6992
    },
    {
     "county": "Webster",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6765,
     "projected": 0.6761
    },
    {
     "county": "Worth",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6419,
     "projected": 0.6417
    },
    {
     "county": "Wright",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.7716,
     "projected": 0.7697
    }
   ],
   "regions": {
    "kc": {
     "counted": 0,
     "pct_counted": 0.0,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.3441,
     "projected": 0.3453,
     "support_swing": 0.0012
    },
    "midcity": {
     "counted": 0,
     "pct_counted": 0.0,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5053,
     "projected": 0.5051,
     "support_swing": -0.0002
    },
    "rural": {
     "counted": 0,
     "pct_counted": 0.0,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6315,
     "projected": 0.6311,
     "support_swing": -0.00041
    },
    "stl": {
     "counted": 0,
     "pct_counted": 0.0,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.3648,
     "projected": 0.3652,
     "support_swing": 0.00046
    }
   }
  },
  "A6": {
   "label": "Amendment 6",
   "kind": "measure",
   "option_a": "yes",
   "option_b": "no",
   "pre_election_level": 0.5452,
   "pre_election_p": 0.7016,
   "projected": 0.5452,
   "p10": 0.4287,
   "p90": 0.6621,
   "p_a_wins": 0.7016,
   "projected_winner": null,
   "tie": false,
   "awaiting": true,
   "min_coverage": 0.05,
   "coverage_basis": "expected 2026 votes: 2024 presidential total x county midterm drop-off",
   "S_mean": 0.0,
   "S_sd": 0.0910651580179477,
   "counted": 0,
   "counted_a": 0,
   "expected": 2620672.9072089484,
   "pct_counted": 0.0,
   "complete": false,
   "counties": [
    {
     "county": "Adair",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5163,
     "projected": 0.5166
    },
    {
     "county": "Andrew",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4962,
     "projected": 0.496
    },
    {
     "county": "Atchison",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4903,
     "projected": 0.4907
    },
    {
     "county": "Audrain",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4985,
     "projected": 0.4986
    },
    {
     "county": "Barry",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4396,
     "projected": 0.4403
    },
    {
     "county": "Barton",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.397,
     "projected": 0.3979
    },
    {
     "county": "Bates",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4662,
     "projected": 0.4667
    },
    {
     "county": "Benton",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.474,
     "projected": 0.4749
    },
    {
     "county": "Bollinger",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.392,
     "projected": 0.3922
    },
    {
     "county": "Boone",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6212,
     "projected": 0.6211
    },
    {
     "county": "Buchanan",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5387,
     "projected": 0.5389
    },
    {
     "county": "Butler",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4511,
     "projected": 0.4513
    },
    {
     "county": "Caldwell",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4695,
     "projected": 0.4697
    },
    {
     "county": "Callaway",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5106,
     "projected": 0.5109
    },
    {
     "county": "Camden",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5026,
     "projected": 0.503
    },
    {
     "county": "Cape Girardeau",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4735,
     "projected": 0.4739
    },
    {
     "county": "Carroll",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4648,
     "projected": 0.4644
    },
    {
     "county": "Carter",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4083,
     "projected": 0.4087
    },
    {
     "county": "Cass",
     "region": "kc",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5309,
     "projected": 0.5311
    },
    {
     "county": "Cedar",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4319,
     "projected": 0.4323
    },
    {
     "county": "Chariton",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4591,
     "projected": 0.4594
    },
    {
     "county": "Christian",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4555,
     "projected": 0.4557
    },
    {
     "county": "Clark",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4888,
     "projected": 0.4892
    },
    {
     "county": "Clay",
     "region": "kc",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.593,
     "projected": 0.5932
    },
    {
     "county": "Clinton",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5061,
     "projected": 0.5065
    },
    {
     "county": "Cole",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4998,
     "projected": 0.5001
    },
    {
     "county": "Cooper",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4959,
     "projected": 0.4962
    },
    {
     "county": "Crawford",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4467,
     "projected": 0.4477
    },
    {
     "county": "Dade",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4237,
     "projected": 0.4242
    },
    {
     "county": "Dallas",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4415,
     "projected": 0.4417
    },
    {
     "county": "Daviess",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4557,
     "projected": 0.4561
    },
    {
     "county": "De Kalb",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4609,
     "projected": 0.4613
    },
    {
     "county": "Dent",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4151,
     "projected": 0.4155
    },
    {
     "county": "Douglas",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.405,
     "projected": 0.4054
    },
    {
     "county": "Dunklin",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4605,
     "projected": 0.4609
    },
    {
     "county": "Franklin",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4846,
     "projected": 0.485
    },
    {
     "county": "Gasconade",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4486,
     "projected": 0.4487
    },
    {
     "county": "Gentry",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4405,
     "projected": 0.4408
    },
    {
     "county": "Greene",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5331,
     "projected": 0.5332
    },
    {
     "county": "Grundy",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4366,
     "projected": 0.4369
    },
    {
     "county": "Harrison",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4395,
     "projected": 0.44
    },
    {
     "county": "Henry",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4902,
     "projected": 0.4908
    },
    {
     "county": "Hickory",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4659,
     "projected": 0.4666
    },
    {
     "county": "Holt",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4491,
     "projected": 0.4493
    },
    {
     "county": "Howard",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.498,
     "projected": 0.4985
    },
    {
     "county": "Howell",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4298,
     "projected": 0.4299
    },
    {
     "county": "Iron",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4409,
     "projected": 0.4408
    },
    {
     "county": "Jackson",
     "region": "kc",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5816,
     "projected": 0.5819
    },
    {
     "county": "Jasper",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4733,
     "projected": 0.474
    },
    {
     "county": "Jefferson",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5223,
     "projected": 0.5226
    },
    {
     "county": "Johnson",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5169,
     "projected": 0.5177
    },
    {
     "county": "Kansas City",
     "region": "kc",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6893,
     "projected": 0.69
    },
    {
     "county": "Knox",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4357,
     "projected": 0.4358
    },
    {
     "county": "Laclede",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4341,
     "projected": 0.4347
    },
    {
     "county": "Lafayette",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5017,
     "projected": 0.5024
    },
    {
     "county": "Lawrence",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4329,
     "projected": 0.4332
    },
    {
     "county": "Lewis",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4581,
     "projected": 0.4586
    },
    {
     "county": "Lincoln",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4765,
     "projected": 0.4769
    },
    {
     "county": "Linn",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4685,
     "projected": 0.4689
    },
    {
     "county": "Livingston",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4633,
     "projected": 0.4634
    },
    {
     "county": "Macon",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4467,
     "projected": 0.447
    },
    {
     "county": "Madison",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4398,
     "projected": 0.4403
    },
    {
     "county": "Maries",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4127,
     "projected": 0.4132
    },
    {
     "county": "Marion",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4596,
     "projected": 0.4599
    },
    {
     "county": "McDonald",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4367,
     "projected": 0.4372
    },
    {
     "county": "Mercer",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.427,
     "projected": 0.4274
    },
    {
     "county": "Miller",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4374,
     "projected": 0.4381
    },
    {
     "county": "Mississippi",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4638,
     "projected": 0.464
    },
    {
     "county": "Moniteau",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4414,
     "projected": 0.4418
    },
    {
     "county": "Monroe",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4468,
     "projected": 0.447
    },
    {
     "county": "Montgomery",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4606,
     "projected": 0.4607
    },
    {
     "county": "Morgan",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4737,
     "projected": 0.4739
    },
    {
     "county": "New Madrid",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4568,
     "projected": 0.4576
    },
    {
     "county": "Newton",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4408,
     "projected": 0.4411
    },
    {
     "county": "Nodaway",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.496,
     "projected": 0.4961
    },
    {
     "county": "Oregon",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4314,
     "projected": 0.4319
    },
    {
     "county": "Osage",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.3947,
     "projected": 0.3952
    },
    {
     "county": "Ozark",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4297,
     "projected": 0.4301
    },
    {
     "county": "Pemiscot",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4853,
     "projected": 0.4853
    },
    {
     "county": "Perry",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.428,
     "projected": 0.428
    },
    {
     "county": "Pettis",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4932,
     "projected": 0.4936
    },
    {
     "county": "Phelps",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4895,
     "projected": 0.4895
    },
    {
     "county": "Pike",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4539,
     "projected": 0.4542
    },
    {
     "county": "Platte",
     "region": "kc",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5984,
     "projected": 0.5992
    },
    {
     "county": "Polk",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4376,
     "projected": 0.4378
    },
    {
     "county": "Pulaski",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4999,
     "projected": 0.5001
    },
    {
     "county": "Putnam",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4402,
     "projected": 0.4407
    },
    {
     "county": "Ralls",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4453,
     "projected": 0.4453
    },
    {
     "county": "Randolph",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4966,
     "projected": 0.4971
    },
    {
     "county": "Ray",
     "region": "kc",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5076,
     "projected": 0.508
    },
    {
     "county": "Reynolds",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4319,
     "projected": 0.4319
    },
    {
     "county": "Ripley",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4235,
     "projected": 0.4237
    },
    {
     "county": "Saline",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5315,
     "projected": 0.532
    },
    {
     "county": "Schuyler",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4564,
     "projected": 0.4566
    },
    {
     "county": "Scotland",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4695,
     "projected": 0.4699
    },
    {
     "county": "Scott",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4443,
     "projected": 0.4447
    },
    {
     "county": "Shannon",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4229,
     "projected": 0.4235
    },
    {
     "county": "Shelby",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.42,
     "projected": 0.4201
    },
    {
     "county": "St. Charles",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5531,
     "projected": 0.5533
    },
    {
     "county": "St. Clair",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4566,
     "projected": 0.4566
    },
    {
     "county": "St. Francois",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4881,
     "projected": 0.4882
    },
    {
     "county": "St. Louis",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6238,
     "projected": 0.6242
    },
    {
     "county": "St. Louis City",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.7012,
     "projected": 0.7012
    },
    {
     "county": "Ste. Genevieve",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4687,
     "projected": 0.4692
    },
    {
     "county": "Stoddard",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4174,
     "projected": 0.4182
    },
    {
     "county": "Stone",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4461,
     "projected": 0.4463
    },
    {
     "county": "Sullivan",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4324,
     "projected": 0.4331
    },
    {
     "county": "Taney",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4459,
     "projected": 0.4461
    },
    {
     "county": "Texas",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4116,
     "projected": 0.4125
    },
    {
     "county": "Vernon",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4679,
     "projected": 0.4689
    },
    {
     "county": "Warren",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4897,
     "projected": 0.4901
    },
    {
     "county": "Washington",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4385,
     "projected": 0.4389
    },
    {
     "county": "Wayne",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4247,
     "projected": 0.4252
    },
    {
     "county": "Webster",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4362,
     "projected": 0.4366
    },
    {
     "county": "Worth",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4535,
     "projected": 0.4542
    },
    {
     "county": "Wright",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.3887,
     "projected": 0.389
    }
   ],
   "regions": {
    "kc": {
     "counted": 0,
     "pct_counted": 0.0,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6024,
     "projected": 0.6029,
     "support_swing": 0.0004
    },
    "midcity": {
     "counted": 0,
     "pct_counted": 0.0,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5218,
     "projected": 0.5221,
     "support_swing": 0.00024
    },
    "rural": {
     "counted": 0,
     "pct_counted": 0.0,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4587,
     "projected": 0.4591,
     "support_swing": 0.00038
    },
    "stl": {
     "counted": 0,
     "pct_counted": 0.0,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5921,
     "projected": 0.5924,
     "support_swing": 0.00028
    }
   }
  },
  "A7": {
   "label": "Amendment 7",
   "kind": "measure",
   "option_a": "yes",
   "option_b": "no",
   "pre_election_level": 0.4207,
   "pre_election_p": 0.2726,
   "projected": 0.4207,
   "p10": 0.2401,
   "p90": 0.5999,
   "p_a_wins": 0.2726,
   "projected_winner": null,
   "tie": false,
   "awaiting": true,
   "min_coverage": 0.05,
   "coverage_basis": "expected 2026 votes: 2024 presidential total x county midterm drop-off",
   "S_mean": 0.0,
   "S_sd": 0.14038236441669918,
   "counted": 0,
   "counted_a": 0,
   "expected": 2621443.875472965,
   "pct_counted": 0.0,
   "complete": false,
   "counties": [
    {
     "county": "Adair",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4443,
     "projected": 0.4442
    },
    {
     "county": "Andrew",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.472,
     "projected": 0.472
    },
    {
     "county": "Atchison",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4841,
     "projected": 0.4837
    },
    {
     "county": "Audrain",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4657,
     "projected": 0.4657
    },
    {
     "county": "Barry",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4895,
     "projected": 0.4893
    },
    {
     "county": "Barton",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5022,
     "projected": 0.5019
    },
    {
     "county": "Bates",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4866,
     "projected": 0.4864
    },
    {
     "county": "Benton",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4825,
     "projected": 0.482
    },
    {
     "county": "Bollinger",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5063,
     "projected": 0.5059
    },
    {
     "county": "Boone",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.3784,
     "projected": 0.3788
    },
    {
     "county": "Buchanan",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.436,
     "projected": 0.4358
    },
    {
     "county": "Butler",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4898,
     "projected": 0.4898
    },
    {
     "county": "Caldwell",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4861,
     "projected": 0.4858
    },
    {
     "county": "Callaway",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4592,
     "projected": 0.4591
    },
    {
     "county": "Camden",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4755,
     "projected": 0.4757
    },
    {
     "county": "Cape Girardeau",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4639,
     "projected": 0.4636
    },
    {
     "county": "Carroll",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4907,
     "projected": 0.4912
    },
    {
     "county": "Carter",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.505,
     "projected": 0.5049
    },
    {
     "county": "Cass",
     "region": "kc",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4421,
     "projected": 0.4421
    },
    {
     "county": "Cedar",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4987,
     "projected": 0.4982
    },
    {
     "county": "Chariton",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4786,
     "projected": 0.4788
    },
    {
     "county": "Christian",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4725,
     "projected": 0.4726
    },
    {
     "county": "Clark",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4864,
     "projected": 0.4864
    },
    {
     "county": "Clay",
     "region": "kc",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4019,
     "projected": 0.4024
    },
    {
     "county": "Clinton",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4661,
     "projected": 0.4657
    },
    {
     "county": "Cole",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4457,
     "projected": 0.4458
    },
    {
     "county": "Cooper",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4628,
     "projected": 0.4629
    },
    {
     "county": "Crawford",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4873,
     "projected": 0.4869
    },
    {
     "county": "Dade",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4948,
     "projected": 0.4947
    },
    {
     "county": "Dallas",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.491,
     "projected": 0.4909
    },
    {
     "county": "Daviess",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4892,
     "projected": 0.4893
    },
    {
     "county": "De Kalb",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4884,
     "projected": 0.4881
    },
    {
     "county": "Dent",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4996,
     "projected": 0.4993
    },
    {
     "county": "Douglas",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.502,
     "projected": 0.5021
    },
    {
     "county": "Dunklin",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4867,
     "projected": 0.4865
    },
    {
     "county": "Franklin",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4629,
     "projected": 0.4634
    },
    {
     "county": "Gasconade",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4845,
     "projected": 0.4841
    },
    {
     "county": "Gentry",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4868,
     "projected": 0.4868
    },
    {
     "county": "Greene",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.425,
     "projected": 0.4252
    },
    {
     "county": "Grundy",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4895,
     "projected": 0.4894
    },
    {
     "county": "Harrison",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5015,
     "projected": 0.5013
    },
    {
     "county": "Henry",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.473,
     "projected": 0.4726
    },
    {
     "county": "Hickory",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4856,
     "projected": 0.4847
    },
    {
     "county": "Holt",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4975,
     "projected": 0.4977
    },
    {
     "county": "Howard",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4608,
     "projected": 0.4608
    },
    {
     "county": "Howell",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4943,
     "projected": 0.4944
    },
    {
     "county": "Iron",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.488,
     "projected": 0.4877
    },
    {
     "county": "Jackson",
     "region": "kc",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.3996,
     "projected": 0.3997
    },
    {
     "county": "Jasper",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4644,
     "projected": 0.4644
    },
    {
     "county": "Jefferson",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4492,
     "projected": 0.4494
    },
    {
     "county": "Johnson",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4535,
     "projected": 0.4539
    },
    {
     "county": "Kansas City",
     "region": "kc",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.3079,
     "projected": 0.3093
    },
    {
     "county": "Knox",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4912,
     "projected": 0.4911
    },
    {
     "county": "Laclede",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4944,
     "projected": 0.4944
    },
    {
     "county": "Lafayette",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4676,
     "projected": 0.4675
    },
    {
     "county": "Lawrence",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4899,
     "projected": 0.49
    },
    {
     "county": "Lewis",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4844,
     "projected": 0.484
    },
    {
     "county": "Lincoln",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4781,
     "projected": 0.4783
    },
    {
     "county": "Linn",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4802,
     "projected": 0.4803
    },
    {
     "county": "Livingston",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4807,
     "projected": 0.4809
    },
    {
     "county": "Macon",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4862,
     "projected": 0.4857
    },
    {
     "county": "Madison",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4915,
     "projected": 0.4916
    },
    {
     "county": "Maries",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4956,
     "projected": 0.4949
    },
    {
     "county": "Marion",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4735,
     "projected": 0.4729
    },
    {
     "county": "McDonald",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4972,
     "projected": 0.4975
    },
    {
     "county": "Mercer",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5037,
     "projected": 0.5035
    },
    {
     "county": "Miller",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4952,
     "projected": 0.4955
    },
    {
     "county": "Mississippi",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4744,
     "projected": 0.4741
    },
    {
     "county": "Moniteau",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4885,
     "projected": 0.4883
    },
    {
     "county": "Monroe",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.484,
     "projected": 0.4835
    },
    {
     "county": "Montgomery",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4843,
     "projected": 0.4841
    },
    {
     "county": "Morgan",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4838,
     "projected": 0.4834
    },
    {
     "county": "New Madrid",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4741,
     "projected": 0.4743
    },
    {
     "county": "Newton",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4822,
     "projected": 0.482
    },
    {
     "county": "Nodaway",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4596,
     "projected": 0.4595
    },
    {
     "county": "Oregon",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4977,
     "projected": 0.4973
    },
    {
     "county": "Osage",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5038,
     "projected": 0.5034
    },
    {
     "county": "Ozark",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4992,
     "projected": 0.4992
    },
    {
     "county": "Pemiscot",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4672,
     "projected": 0.467
    },
    {
     "county": "Perry",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4892,
     "projected": 0.4887
    },
    {
     "county": "Pettis",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4675,
     "projected": 0.467
    },
    {
     "county": "Phelps",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4586,
     "projected": 0.4583
    },
    {
     "county": "Pike",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4808,
     "projected": 0.4807
    },
    {
     "county": "Platte",
     "region": "kc",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.3981,
     "projected": 0.3986
    },
    {
     "county": "Polk",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4868,
     "projected": 0.4863
    },
    {
     "county": "Pulaski",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4697,
     "projected": 0.4696
    },
    {
     "county": "Putnam",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4994,
     "projected": 0.499
    },
    {
     "county": "Ralls",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4829,
     "projected": 0.4827
    },
    {
     "county": "Randolph",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4725,
     "projected": 0.4724
    },
    {
     "county": "Ray",
     "region": "kc",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4672,
     "projected": 0.4672
    },
    {
     "county": "Reynolds",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4966,
     "projected": 0.4964
    },
    {
     "county": "Ripley",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5036,
     "projected": 0.5036
    },
    {
     "county": "Saline",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4547,
     "projected": 0.4542
    },
    {
     "county": "Schuyler",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4912,
     "projected": 0.4913
    },
    {
     "county": "Scotland",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4866,
     "projected": 0.4866
    },
    {
     "county": "Scott",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4822,
     "projected": 0.4823
    },
    {
     "county": "Shannon",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4963,
     "projected": 0.4964
    },
    {
     "county": "Shelby",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4924,
     "projected": 0.4921
    },
    {
     "county": "St. Charles",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4191,
     "projected": 0.4193
    },
    {
     "county": "St. Clair",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4851,
     "projected": 0.4845
    },
    {
     "county": "St. Francois",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4712,
     "projected": 0.471
    },
    {
     "county": "St. Louis",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.3576,
     "projected": 0.3578
    },
    {
     "county": "St. Louis City",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2943,
     "projected": 0.2957
    },
    {
     "county": "Ste. Genevieve",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4617,
     "projected": 0.4613
    },
    {
     "county": "Stoddard",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5048,
     "projected": 0.5046
    },
    {
     "county": "Stone",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4861,
     "projected": 0.486
    },
    {
     "county": "Sullivan",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4932,
     "projected": 0.4938
    },
    {
     "county": "Taney",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4831,
     "projected": 0.4827
    },
    {
     "county": "Texas",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5017,
     "projected": 0.5012
    },
    {
     "county": "Vernon",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4834,
     "projected": 0.4833
    },
    {
     "county": "Warren",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4683,
     "projected": 0.4686
    },
    {
     "county": "Washington",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4918,
     "projected": 0.4915
    },
    {
     "county": "Wayne",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5029,
     "projected": 0.5023
    },
    {
     "county": "Webster",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4875,
     "projected": 0.4873
    },
    {
     "county": "Worth",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4912,
     "projected": 0.4911
    },
    {
     "county": "Wright",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5077,
     "projected": 0.507
    }
   ],
   "regions": {
    "kc": {
     "counted": 0,
     "pct_counted": 0.0,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.3859,
     "projected": 0.3864,
     "support_swing": 0.00049
    },
    "midcity": {
     "counted": 0,
     "pct_counted": 0.0,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4356,
     "projected": 0.4357,
     "support_swing": 0.0001
    },
    "rural": {
     "counted": 0,
     "pct_counted": 0.0,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4823,
     "projected": 0.4822,
     "support_swing": -0.00017
    },
    "stl": {
     "counted": 0,
     "pct_counted": 0.0,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.3848,
     "projected": 0.3851,
     "support_swing": 0.00036
    }
   }
  },
  "A8": {
   "label": "Amendment 8",
   "kind": "measure",
   "option_a": "yes",
   "option_b": "no",
   "pre_election_level": 0.5797,
   "pre_election_p": 0.7306,
   "projected": 0.5797,
   "p10": 0.4,
   "p90": 0.7607,
   "p_a_wins": 0.7306,
   "projected_winner": null,
   "tie": false,
   "awaiting": true,
   "min_coverage": 0.05,
   "coverage_basis": "expected 2026 votes: 2024 presidential total x county midterm drop-off",
   "S_mean": 0.0,
   "S_sd": 0.14073351541162699,
   "counted": 0,
   "counted_a": 0,
   "expected": 2621512.2030826285,
   "pct_counted": 0.0,
   "complete": false,
   "counties": [
    {
     "county": "Adair",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6033,
     "projected": 0.6055
    },
    {
     "county": "Andrew",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.631,
     "projected": 0.6327
    },
    {
     "county": "Atchison",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6431,
     "projected": 0.6449
    },
    {
     "county": "Audrain",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6247,
     "projected": 0.6268
    },
    {
     "county": "Barry",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6485,
     "projected": 0.6502
    },
    {
     "county": "Barton",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6612,
     "projected": 0.6629
    },
    {
     "county": "Bates",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6456,
     "projected": 0.6475
    },
    {
     "county": "Benton",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6415,
     "projected": 0.6436
    },
    {
     "county": "Bollinger",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6653,
     "projected": 0.6667
    },
    {
     "county": "Boone",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5374,
     "projected": 0.5399
    },
    {
     "county": "Buchanan",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.595,
     "projected": 0.5973
    },
    {
     "county": "Butler",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6488,
     "projected": 0.6508
    },
    {
     "county": "Caldwell",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6451,
     "projected": 0.6471
    },
    {
     "county": "Callaway",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6182,
     "projected": 0.6206
    },
    {
     "county": "Camden",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6345,
     "projected": 0.637
    },
    {
     "county": "Cape Girardeau",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6229,
     "projected": 0.625
    },
    {
     "county": "Carroll",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6497,
     "projected": 0.6513
    },
    {
     "county": "Carter",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.664,
     "projected": 0.6654
    },
    {
     "county": "Cass",
     "region": "kc",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6011,
     "projected": 0.6031
    },
    {
     "county": "Cedar",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6577,
     "projected": 0.66
    },
    {
     "county": "Chariton",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6376,
     "projected": 0.6395
    },
    {
     "county": "Christian",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6315,
     "projected": 0.6338
    },
    {
     "county": "Clark",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6454,
     "projected": 0.6471
    },
    {
     "county": "Clay",
     "region": "kc",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5609,
     "projected": 0.5633
    },
    {
     "county": "Clinton",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6251,
     "projected": 0.6274
    },
    {
     "county": "Cole",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6047,
     "projected": 0.6072
    },
    {
     "county": "Cooper",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6218,
     "projected": 0.6241
    },
    {
     "county": "Crawford",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6463,
     "projected": 0.6482
    },
    {
     "county": "Dade",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6538,
     "projected": 0.6559
    },
    {
     "county": "Dallas",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.65,
     "projected": 0.6517
    },
    {
     "county": "Daviess",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6482,
     "projected": 0.65
    },
    {
     "county": "De Kalb",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6474,
     "projected": 0.6493
    },
    {
     "county": "Dent",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6586,
     "projected": 0.6605
    },
    {
     "county": "Douglas",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.661,
     "projected": 0.6631
    },
    {
     "county": "Dunklin",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6457,
     "projected": 0.6478
    },
    {
     "county": "Franklin",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6219,
     "projected": 0.6241
    },
    {
     "county": "Gasconade",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6435,
     "projected": 0.6457
    },
    {
     "county": "Gentry",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6458,
     "projected": 0.6471
    },
    {
     "county": "Greene",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.584,
     "projected": 0.5867
    },
    {
     "county": "Grundy",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6485,
     "projected": 0.6506
    },
    {
     "county": "Harrison",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6605,
     "projected": 0.6624
    },
    {
     "county": "Henry",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.632,
     "projected": 0.634
    },
    {
     "county": "Hickory",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6446,
     "projected": 0.6467
    },
    {
     "county": "Holt",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6565,
     "projected": 0.6587
    },
    {
     "county": "Howard",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6198,
     "projected": 0.622
    },
    {
     "county": "Howell",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6533,
     "projected": 0.6556
    },
    {
     "county": "Iron",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.647,
     "projected": 0.6488
    },
    {
     "county": "Jackson",
     "region": "kc",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5586,
     "projected": 0.5609
    },
    {
     "county": "Jasper",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6234,
     "projected": 0.6253
    },
    {
     "county": "Jefferson",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6082,
     "projected": 0.6099
    },
    {
     "county": "Johnson",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6125,
     "projected": 0.6147
    },
    {
     "county": "Kansas City",
     "region": "kc",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4669,
     "projected": 0.4692
    },
    {
     "county": "Knox",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6502,
     "projected": 0.6517
    },
    {
     "county": "Laclede",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6534,
     "projected": 0.6558
    },
    {
     "county": "Lafayette",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6266,
     "projected": 0.6289
    },
    {
     "county": "Lawrence",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6489,
     "projected": 0.6508
    },
    {
     "county": "Lewis",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6434,
     "projected": 0.6451
    },
    {
     "county": "Lincoln",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6371,
     "projected": 0.6388
    },
    {
     "county": "Linn",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6392,
     "projected": 0.6406
    },
    {
     "county": "Livingston",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6397,
     "projected": 0.6423
    },
    {
     "county": "Macon",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6452,
     "projected": 0.6475
    },
    {
     "county": "Madison",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6505,
     "projected": 0.6522
    },
    {
     "county": "Maries",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6546,
     "projected": 0.6562
    },
    {
     "county": "Marion",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6325,
     "projected": 0.6344
    },
    {
     "county": "McDonald",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6562,
     "projected": 0.6582
    },
    {
     "county": "Mercer",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6627,
     "projected": 0.6644
    },
    {
     "county": "Miller",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6542,
     "projected": 0.656
    },
    {
     "county": "Mississippi",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6334,
     "projected": 0.6358
    },
    {
     "county": "Moniteau",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6475,
     "projected": 0.6493
    },
    {
     "county": "Monroe",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.643,
     "projected": 0.6445
    },
    {
     "county": "Montgomery",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6433,
     "projected": 0.6449
    },
    {
     "county": "Morgan",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6428,
     "projected": 0.6455
    },
    {
     "county": "New Madrid",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6331,
     "projected": 0.6351
    },
    {
     "county": "Newton",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6412,
     "projected": 0.6438
    },
    {
     "county": "Nodaway",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6186,
     "projected": 0.6207
    },
    {
     "county": "Oregon",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6567,
     "projected": 0.6586
    },
    {
     "county": "Osage",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6628,
     "projected": 0.6648
    },
    {
     "county": "Ozark",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6582,
     "projected": 0.6602
    },
    {
     "county": "Pemiscot",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6262,
     "projected": 0.6283
    },
    {
     "county": "Perry",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6482,
     "projected": 0.6501
    },
    {
     "county": "Pettis",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6265,
     "projected": 0.6287
    },
    {
     "county": "Phelps",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6176,
     "projected": 0.6189
    },
    {
     "county": "Pike",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6398,
     "projected": 0.6419
    },
    {
     "county": "Platte",
     "region": "kc",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5571,
     "projected": 0.5597
    },
    {
     "county": "Polk",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6458,
     "projected": 0.6484
    },
    {
     "county": "Pulaski",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6287,
     "projected": 0.631
    },
    {
     "county": "Putnam",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6584,
     "projected": 0.6601
    },
    {
     "county": "Ralls",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6419,
     "projected": 0.6438
    },
    {
     "county": "Randolph",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6315,
     "projected": 0.6333
    },
    {
     "county": "Ray",
     "region": "kc",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6262,
     "projected": 0.6286
    },
    {
     "county": "Reynolds",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6556,
     "projected": 0.6575
    },
    {
     "county": "Ripley",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6626,
     "projected": 0.6639
    },
    {
     "county": "Saline",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6137,
     "projected": 0.616
    },
    {
     "county": "Schuyler",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6502,
     "projected": 0.6521
    },
    {
     "county": "Scotland",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6456,
     "projected": 0.6479
    },
    {
     "county": "Scott",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6412,
     "projected": 0.6433
    },
    {
     "county": "Shannon",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6553,
     "projected": 0.6573
    },
    {
     "county": "Shelby",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6514,
     "projected": 0.6533
    },
    {
     "county": "St. Charles",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5781,
     "projected": 0.58
    },
    {
     "county": "St. Clair",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6441,
     "projected": 0.6463
    },
    {
     "county": "St. Francois",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6302,
     "projected": 0.6327
    },
    {
     "county": "St. Louis",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5166,
     "projected": 0.5189
    },
    {
     "county": "St. Louis City",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4533,
     "projected": 0.4555
    },
    {
     "county": "Ste. Genevieve",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6207,
     "projected": 0.6229
    },
    {
     "county": "Stoddard",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6638,
     "projected": 0.6656
    },
    {
     "county": "Stone",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6451,
     "projected": 0.6471
    },
    {
     "county": "Sullivan",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6522,
     "projected": 0.6542
    },
    {
     "county": "Taney",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6421,
     "projected": 0.6444
    },
    {
     "county": "Texas",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6607,
     "projected": 0.6625
    },
    {
     "county": "Vernon",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6424,
     "projected": 0.6451
    },
    {
     "county": "Warren",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6273,
     "projected": 0.6293
    },
    {
     "county": "Washington",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6508,
     "projected": 0.6532
    },
    {
     "county": "Wayne",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6619,
     "projected": 0.6638
    },
    {
     "county": "Webster",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6465,
     "projected": 0.6484
    },
    {
     "county": "Worth",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6502,
     "projected": 0.6525
    },
    {
     "county": "Wright",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6667,
     "projected": 0.6688
    }
   ],
   "regions": {
    "kc": {
     "counted": 0,
     "pct_counted": 0.0,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5449,
     "projected": 0.5471,
     "support_swing": 0.00232
    },
    "midcity": {
     "counted": 0,
     "pct_counted": 0.0,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5946,
     "projected": 0.597,
     "support_swing": 0.00242
    },
    "rural": {
     "counted": 0,
     "pct_counted": 0.0,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6413,
     "projected": 0.6434,
     "support_swing": 0.00205
    },
    "stl": {
     "counted": 0,
     "pct_counted": 0.0,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5438,
     "projected": 0.546,
     "support_swing": 0.00211
    }
   }
  },
  "PROPA": {
   "label": "Proposition A",
   "kind": "measure",
   "option_a": "yes",
   "option_b": "no",
   "pre_election_level": 0.4274,
   "pre_election_p": 0.2021,
   "projected": 0.4274,
   "p10": 0.3098,
   "p90": 0.5447,
   "p_a_wins": 0.2021,
   "projected_winner": null,
   "tie": false,
   "awaiting": true,
   "min_coverage": 0.05,
   "coverage_basis": "expected 2026 votes: 2024 presidential total x county midterm drop-off",
   "S_mean": 0.0,
   "S_sd": 0.09165040967616073,
   "counted": 0,
   "counted_a": 0,
   "expected": 2622071.56084559,
   "pct_counted": 0.0,
   "complete": false,
   "counties": [
    {
     "county": "Adair",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4747,
     "projected": 0.4737
    },
    {
     "county": "Andrew",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5299,
     "projected": 0.528
    },
    {
     "county": "Atchison",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5543,
     "projected": 0.5528
    },
    {
     "county": "Audrain",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5174,
     "projected": 0.5152
    },
    {
     "county": "Barry",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.565,
     "projected": 0.5636
    },
    {
     "county": "Barton",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5904,
     "projected": 0.5884
    },
    {
     "county": "Bates",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5592,
     "projected": 0.5578
    },
    {
     "county": "Benton",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5511,
     "projected": 0.549
    },
    {
     "county": "Bollinger",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5985,
     "projected": 0.5966
    },
    {
     "county": "Boone",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.3428,
     "projected": 0.3416
    },
    {
     "county": "Buchanan",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4579,
     "projected": 0.4562
    },
    {
     "county": "Butler",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5656,
     "projected": 0.5635
    },
    {
     "county": "Caldwell",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5583,
     "projected": 0.5567
    },
    {
     "county": "Callaway",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5044,
     "projected": 0.5029
    },
    {
     "county": "Camden",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.537,
     "projected": 0.5355
    },
    {
     "county": "Cape Girardeau",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5137,
     "projected": 0.5119
    },
    {
     "county": "Carroll",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5674,
     "projected": 0.5657
    },
    {
     "county": "Carter",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5961,
     "projected": 0.5941
    },
    {
     "county": "Cass",
     "region": "kc",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4702,
     "projected": 0.4688
    },
    {
     "county": "Cedar",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5834,
     "projected": 0.581
    },
    {
     "county": "Chariton",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5431,
     "projected": 0.5414
    },
    {
     "county": "Christian",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5311,
     "projected": 0.5294
    },
    {
     "county": "Clark",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5587,
     "projected": 0.5566
    },
    {
     "county": "Clay",
     "region": "kc",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.3898,
     "projected": 0.3887
    },
    {
     "county": "Clinton",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5182,
     "projected": 0.5165
    },
    {
     "county": "Cole",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4774,
     "projected": 0.4756
    },
    {
     "county": "Cooper",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5115,
     "projected": 0.5096
    },
    {
     "county": "Crawford",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5606,
     "projected": 0.5587
    },
    {
     "county": "Dade",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5757,
     "projected": 0.5733
    },
    {
     "county": "Dallas",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5681,
     "projected": 0.566
    },
    {
     "county": "Daviess",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5644,
     "projected": 0.5626
    },
    {
     "county": "De Kalb",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5629,
     "projected": 0.5604
    },
    {
     "county": "Dent",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5853,
     "projected": 0.5829
    },
    {
     "county": "Douglas",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5901,
     "projected": 0.5879
    },
    {
     "county": "Dunklin",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5593,
     "projected": 0.5576
    },
    {
     "county": "Franklin",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5118,
     "projected": 0.5098
    },
    {
     "county": "Gasconade",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5549,
     "projected": 0.5531
    },
    {
     "county": "Gentry",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5595,
     "projected": 0.5575
    },
    {
     "county": "Greene",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.436,
     "projected": 0.4345
    },
    {
     "county": "Grundy",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5649,
     "projected": 0.563
    },
    {
     "county": "Harrison",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5889,
     "projected": 0.5864
    },
    {
     "county": "Henry",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5321,
     "projected": 0.5306
    },
    {
     "county": "Hickory",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5573,
     "projected": 0.5557
    },
    {
     "county": "Holt",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5811,
     "projected": 0.5788
    },
    {
     "county": "Howard",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5076,
     "projected": 0.5057
    },
    {
     "county": "Howell",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5746,
     "projected": 0.5724
    },
    {
     "county": "Iron",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.562,
     "projected": 0.5595
    },
    {
     "county": "Jackson",
     "region": "kc",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.3853,
     "projected": 0.3839
    },
    {
     "county": "Jasper",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5149,
     "projected": 0.5136
    },
    {
     "county": "Jefferson",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4843,
     "projected": 0.4827
    },
    {
     "county": "Johnson",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4931,
     "projected": 0.4915
    },
    {
     "county": "Kansas City",
     "region": "kc",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2017,
     "projected": 0.2031
    },
    {
     "county": "Knox",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5684,
     "projected": 0.5664
    },
    {
     "county": "Laclede",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5749,
     "projected": 0.5732
    },
    {
     "county": "Lafayette",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5212,
     "projected": 0.5196
    },
    {
     "county": "Lawrence",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5659,
     "projected": 0.5643
    },
    {
     "county": "Lewis",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5547,
     "projected": 0.553
    },
    {
     "county": "Lincoln",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5422,
     "projected": 0.54
    },
    {
     "county": "Linn",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5463,
     "projected": 0.5447
    },
    {
     "county": "Livingston",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5475,
     "projected": 0.5459
    },
    {
     "county": "Macon",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5584,
     "projected": 0.5565
    },
    {
     "county": "Madison",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.569,
     "projected": 0.5668
    },
    {
     "county": "Maries",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5771,
     "projected": 0.5752
    },
    {
     "county": "Marion",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.533,
     "projected": 0.5314
    },
    {
     "county": "McDonald",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5805,
     "projected": 0.5787
    },
    {
     "county": "Mercer",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5934,
     "projected": 0.5916
    },
    {
     "county": "Miller",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5765,
     "projected": 0.5745
    },
    {
     "county": "Mississippi",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5348,
     "projected": 0.5329
    },
    {
     "county": "Moniteau",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5631,
     "projected": 0.5614
    },
    {
     "county": "Monroe",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.554,
     "projected": 0.552
    },
    {
     "county": "Montgomery",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5546,
     "projected": 0.5525
    },
    {
     "county": "Morgan",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5535,
     "projected": 0.5518
    },
    {
     "county": "New Madrid",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5342,
     "projected": 0.532
    },
    {
     "county": "Newton",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5504,
     "projected": 0.5491
    },
    {
     "county": "Nodaway",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5052,
     "projected": 0.5033
    },
    {
     "county": "Oregon",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5815,
     "projected": 0.5797
    },
    {
     "county": "Osage",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5937,
     "projected": 0.5916
    },
    {
     "county": "Ozark",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5843,
     "projected": 0.5826
    },
    {
     "county": "Pemiscot",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5205,
     "projected": 0.5189
    },
    {
     "county": "Perry",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5644,
     "projected": 0.5628
    },
    {
     "county": "Pettis",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.521,
     "projected": 0.5195
    },
    {
     "county": "Phelps",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5031,
     "projected": 0.5015
    },
    {
     "county": "Pike",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5477,
     "projected": 0.546
    },
    {
     "county": "Platte",
     "region": "kc",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.3822,
     "projected": 0.3809
    },
    {
     "county": "Polk",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5595,
     "projected": 0.5571
    },
    {
     "county": "Pulaski",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5254,
     "projected": 0.524
    },
    {
     "county": "Putnam",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5847,
     "projected": 0.5827
    },
    {
     "county": "Ralls",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5518,
     "projected": 0.5497
    },
    {
     "county": "Randolph",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.531,
     "projected": 0.5288
    },
    {
     "county": "Ray",
     "region": "kc",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5203,
     "projected": 0.5183
    },
    {
     "county": "Reynolds",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5792,
     "projected": 0.5771
    },
    {
     "county": "Ripley",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5932,
     "projected": 0.591
    },
    {
     "county": "Saline",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4953,
     "projected": 0.4935
    },
    {
     "county": "Schuyler",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5684,
     "projected": 0.5664
    },
    {
     "county": "Scotland",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5593,
     "projected": 0.5578
    },
    {
     "county": "Scott",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5505,
     "projected": 0.5487
    },
    {
     "county": "Shannon",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5786,
     "projected": 0.5764
    },
    {
     "county": "Shelby",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5708,
     "projected": 0.5684
    },
    {
     "county": "St. Charles",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4243,
     "projected": 0.4232
    },
    {
     "county": "St. Clair",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5562,
     "projected": 0.5543
    },
    {
     "county": "St. Francois",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5284,
     "projected": 0.5265
    },
    {
     "county": "St. Louis",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.3011,
     "projected": 0.3001
    },
    {
     "county": "St. Louis City",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.1746,
     "projected": 0.178
    },
    {
     "county": "Ste. Genevieve",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5094,
     "projected": 0.5076
    },
    {
     "county": "Stoddard",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5956,
     "projected": 0.5933
    },
    {
     "county": "Stone",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5582,
     "projected": 0.5562
    },
    {
     "county": "Sullivan",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5724,
     "projected": 0.5706
    },
    {
     "county": "Taney",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5523,
     "projected": 0.5507
    },
    {
     "county": "Texas",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5893,
     "projected": 0.5873
    },
    {
     "county": "Vernon",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5529,
     "projected": 0.5506
    },
    {
     "county": "Warren",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5227,
     "projected": 0.5212
    },
    {
     "county": "Washington",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5696,
     "projected": 0.5677
    },
    {
     "county": "Wayne",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5918,
     "projected": 0.59
    },
    {
     "county": "Webster",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.561,
     "projected": 0.5594
    },
    {
     "county": "Worth",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5684,
     "projected": 0.5664
    },
    {
     "county": "Wright",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6014,
     "projected": 0.5995
    }
   ],
   "regions": {
    "kc": {
     "counted": 0,
     "pct_counted": 0.0,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.3578,
     "projected": 0.3571,
     "support_swing": -0.00071
    },
    "midcity": {
     "counted": 0,
     "pct_counted": 0.0,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4573,
     "projected": 0.4558,
     "support_swing": -0.00151
    },
    "rural": {
     "counted": 0,
     "pct_counted": 0.0,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5507,
     "projected": 0.5489,
     "support_swing": -0.00184
    },
    "stl": {
     "counted": 0,
     "pct_counted": 0.0,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.3556,
     "projected": 0.3549,
     "support_swing": -0.00071
    }
   }
  },
  "AUD": {
   "label": "State Auditor",
   "kind": "partisan",
   "option_a": "D",
   "option_b": "R",
   "pre_election_level": 0.4308,
   "pre_election_p": null,
   "projected": 0.4303,
   "p10": 0.4004,
   "p90": 0.4601,
   "p_a_wins": 0.0014,
   "projected_winner": null,
   "tie": false,
   "awaiting": true,
   "min_coverage": 0.05,
   "coverage_basis": "expected 2026 votes: 2024 presidential total x county midterm drop-off",
   "S_mean": 0.0,
   "S_sd": 0.02072585200036528,
   "counted": 0,
   "counted_a": 0,
   "expected": 2621955.8536412367,
   "pct_counted": 0.0,
   "complete": false,
   "counties": [
    {
     "county": "Adair",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.3447,
     "projected": 0.3447
    },
    {
     "county": "Andrew",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2719,
     "projected": 0.2717
    },
    {
     "county": "Atchison",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2196,
     "projected": 0.2195
    },
    {
     "county": "Audrain",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2839,
     "projected": 0.2834
    },
    {
     "county": "Barry",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2057,
     "projected": 0.2051
    },
    {
     "county": "Barton",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.1646,
     "projected": 0.1643
    },
    {
     "county": "Bates",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2322,
     "projected": 0.2315
    },
    {
     "county": "Benton",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2361,
     "projected": 0.2357
    },
    {
     "county": "Bollinger",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.1582,
     "projected": 0.1584
    },
    {
     "county": "Boone",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5632,
     "projected": 0.5638
    },
    {
     "county": "Buchanan",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.3851,
     "projected": 0.3849
    },
    {
     "county": "Butler",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2056,
     "projected": 0.2046
    },
    {
     "county": "Caldwell",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2262,
     "projected": 0.2259
    },
    {
     "county": "Callaway",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.3049,
     "projected": 0.3045
    },
    {
     "county": "Camden",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.247,
     "projected": 0.2467
    },
    {
     "county": "Cape Girardeau",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2823,
     "projected": 0.2821
    },
    {
     "county": "Carroll",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2076,
     "projected": 0.2072
    },
    {
     "county": "Carter",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.1607,
     "projected": 0.1612
    },
    {
     "county": "Cass",
     "region": "kc",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.3611,
     "projected": 0.3604
    },
    {
     "county": "Cedar",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.187,
     "projected": 0.186
    },
    {
     "county": "Chariton",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2539,
     "projected": 0.2534
    },
    {
     "county": "Christian",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2516,
     "projected": 0.2514
    },
    {
     "county": "Clark",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.228,
     "projected": 0.227
    },
    {
     "county": "Clay",
     "region": "kc",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4934,
     "projected": 0.4938
    },
    {
     "county": "Clinton",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2908,
     "projected": 0.2902
    },
    {
     "county": "Cole",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.3367,
     "projected": 0.3362
    },
    {
     "county": "Cooper",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.286,
     "projected": 0.2855
    },
    {
     "county": "Crawford",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2226,
     "projected": 0.2222
    },
    {
     "county": "Dade",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.1827,
     "projected": 0.1823
    },
    {
     "county": "Dallas",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.201,
     "projected": 0.2002
    },
    {
     "county": "Daviess",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2296,
     "projected": 0.2296
    },
    {
     "county": "De Kalb",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.224,
     "projected": 0.223
    },
    {
     "county": "Dent",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.1795,
     "projected": 0.1794
    },
    {
     "county": "Douglas",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.1686,
     "projected": 0.1687
    },
    {
     "county": "Dunklin",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2213,
     "projected": 0.221
    },
    {
     "county": "Franklin",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2985,
     "projected": 0.2985
    },
    {
     "county": "Gasconade",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2222,
     "projected": 0.2213
    },
    {
     "county": "Gentry",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2239,
     "projected": 0.2233
    },
    {
     "county": "Greene",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.406,
     "projected": 0.4063
    },
    {
     "county": "Grundy",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.203,
     "projected": 0.2025
    },
    {
     "county": "Harrison",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.175,
     "projected": 0.1745
    },
    {
     "county": "Henry",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2717,
     "projected": 0.271
    },
    {
     "county": "Hickory",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2218,
     "projected": 0.2212
    },
    {
     "county": "Holt",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.1875,
     "projected": 0.187
    },
    {
     "county": "Howard",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.3045,
     "projected": 0.3046
    },
    {
     "county": "Howell",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.1916,
     "projected": 0.1915
    },
    {
     "county": "Iron",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.24,
     "projected": 0.2397
    },
    {
     "county": "Jackson",
     "region": "kc",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.503,
     "projected": 0.5034
    },
    {
     "county": "Jasper",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2801,
     "projected": 0.2796
    },
    {
     "county": "Jefferson",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.3508,
     "projected": 0.3506
    },
    {
     "county": "Johnson",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.3215,
     "projected": 0.3211
    },
    {
     "county": "Kansas City",
     "region": "kc",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.8147,
     "projected": 0.8138
    },
    {
     "county": "Knox",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2107,
     "projected": 0.2098
    },
    {
     "county": "Laclede",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.1851,
     "projected": 0.1848
    },
    {
     "county": "Lafayette",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2822,
     "projected": 0.2813
    },
    {
     "county": "Lawrence",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2065,
     "projected": 0.2058
    },
    {
     "county": "Lewis",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2281,
     "projected": 0.2274
    },
    {
     "county": "Lincoln",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2553,
     "projected": 0.2547
    },
    {
     "county": "Linn",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2574,
     "projected": 0.2571
    },
    {
     "county": "Livingston",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2308,
     "projected": 0.2302
    },
    {
     "county": "Macon",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2166,
     "projected": 0.2156
    },
    {
     "county": "Madison",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.214,
     "projected": 0.213
    },
    {
     "county": "Maries",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.1886,
     "projected": 0.188
    },
    {
     "county": "Marion",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2588,
     "projected": 0.2583
    },
    {
     "county": "McDonald",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.1831,
     "projected": 0.1829
    },
    {
     "county": "Mercer",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.1597,
     "projected": 0.1602
    },
    {
     "county": "Miller",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.1894,
     "projected": 0.1886
    },
    {
     "county": "Mississippi",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2671,
     "projected": 0.2666
    },
    {
     "county": "Moniteau",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2058,
     "projected": 0.2051
    },
    {
     "county": "Monroe",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2323,
     "projected": 0.2315
    },
    {
     "county": "Montgomery",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2233,
     "projected": 0.2226
    },
    {
     "county": "Morgan",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2264,
     "projected": 0.2259
    },
    {
     "county": "New Madrid",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2644,
     "projected": 0.2638
    },
    {
     "county": "Newton",
     "region": "midcity",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2263,
     "projected": 0.2258
    },
    {
     "county": "Nodaway",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.3003,
     "projected": 0.3
    },
    {
     "county": "Oregon",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.1944,
     "projected": 0.1936
    },
    {
     "county": "Osage",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.1575,
     "projected": 0.1578
    },
    {
     "county": "Ozark",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.171,
     "projected": 0.1708
    },
    {
     "county": "Pemiscot",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2868,
     "projected": 0.2864
    },
    {
     "county": "Perry",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2043,
     "projected": 0.2036
    },
    {
     "county": "Pettis",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2768,
     "projected": 0.2764
    },
    {
     "county": "Phelps",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.3061,
     "projected": 0.3055
    },
    {
     "county": "Pike",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2408,
     "projected": 0.2406
    },
    {
     "county": "Platte",
     "region": "kc",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4957,
     "projected": 0.4956
    },
    {
     "county": "Polk",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2055,
     "projected": 0.2049
    },
    {
     "county": "Pulaski",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2731,
     "projected": 0.2728
    },
    {
     "county": "Putnam",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.1785,
     "projected": 0.1784
    },
    {
     "county": "Ralls",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2326,
     "projected": 0.2321
    },
    {
     "county": "Randolph",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2697,
     "projected": 0.2689
    },
    {
     "county": "Ray",
     "region": "kc",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2975,
     "projected": 0.2973
    },
    {
     "county": "Reynolds",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2116,
     "projected": 0.211
    },
    {
     "county": "Ripley",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.1763,
     "projected": 0.1763
    },
    {
     "county": "Saline",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.3225,
     "projected": 0.3224
    },
    {
     "county": "Schuyler",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2117,
     "projected": 0.2115
    },
    {
     "county": "Scotland",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2078,
     "projected": 0.2071
    },
    {
     "county": "Scott",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2333,
     "projected": 0.2329
    },
    {
     "county": "Shannon",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2023,
     "projected": 0.2023
    },
    {
     "county": "Shelby",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2101,
     "projected": 0.2088
    },
    {
     "county": "St. Charles",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4318,
     "projected": 0.4317
    },
    {
     "county": "St. Clair",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.221,
     "projected": 0.2202
    },
    {
     "county": "St. Francois",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2779,
     "projected": 0.2772
    },
    {
     "county": "St. Louis",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.6288,
     "projected": 0.6293
    },
    {
     "county": "St. Louis City",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.8551,
     "projected": 0.8495
    },
    {
     "county": "Ste. Genevieve",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.3123,
     "projected": 0.3124
    },
    {
     "county": "Stoddard",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.1669,
     "projected": 0.1671
    },
    {
     "county": "Stone",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2105,
     "projected": 0.2099
    },
    {
     "county": "Sullivan",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.1992,
     "projected": 0.1988
    },
    {
     "county": "Taney",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2243,
     "projected": 0.2237
    },
    {
     "county": "Texas",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.1735,
     "projected": 0.1732
    },
    {
     "county": "Vernon",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2286,
     "projected": 0.2278
    },
    {
     "county": "Warren",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.277,
     "projected": 0.2769
    },
    {
     "county": "Washington",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2211,
     "projected": 0.2206
    },
    {
     "county": "Wayne",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.1796,
     "projected": 0.179
    },
    {
     "county": "Webster",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2106,
     "projected": 0.2102
    },
    {
     "county": "Worth",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2095,
     "projected": 0.209
    },
    {
     "county": "Wright",
     "region": "rural",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.1421,
     "projected": 0.1435
    }
   ],
   "regions": {
    "kc": {
     "counted": 0,
     "pct_counted": 0.0,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5486,
     "projected": 0.5485,
     "support_swing": -8e-05
    },
    "midcity": {
     "counted": 0,
     "pct_counted": 0.0,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.3745,
     "projected": 0.3746,
     "support_swing": 1e-05
    },
    "rural": {
     "counted": 0,
     "pct_counted": 0.0,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.2328,
     "projected": 0.2323,
     "support_swing": -0.00046
    },
    "stl": {
     "counted": 0,
     "pct_counted": 0.0,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5466,
     "projected": 0.5462,
     "support_swing": -0.00041
    }
   },
   "why": {
    "downballot_2024": 0.3987799470971583,
    "shift_mean": 0.033,
    "mo2_state": 0.00315,
    "polls_state": 0.001284,
    "incumbent_adj": -0.01,
    "polls_candidate": 0.0045559637242771935,
    "candidate_sd": 0.01430248024438578,
    "shift_sd": 0.015,
    "level_exact": 0.4307699108214355,
    "candidate_effect": {
     "prior": {
      "mean": -0.01,
      "sd": 0.015
     },
     "posterior": {
      "mean": -0.005444036275722807,
      "sd": 0.01430248024438578
     }
    },
    "polls": [
     {
      "pollster": "SLU/YouGov",
      "end": "2026-08-24",
      "n": 449,
      "n_weighted": 359.0,
      "partisan": "none",
      "raw_dem_share": 0.488636,
      "adj_dem_share": 0.488636,
      "weight": 0.090939,
      "obs_sd": 0.132643,
      "source_url": "https://www.slu.edu/news/2026/september/slu-poll.php"
     },
     {
      "pollster": "Remington Research Group",
      "end": "2026-10-15",
      "n": 684,
      "n_weighted": 684.0,
      "partisan": "R",
      "raw_dem_share": 0.45977,
      "adj_dem_share": 0.47477,
      "weight": 0.698454,
      "obs_sd": 0.047862,
      "source_url": "https://moscout.com/s/MOSCOUT-STATEWIDE-GEN-ELECTION-SURVEY-101526.docx"
     }
    ],
    "polls_today": "2026-11-03"
   }
  },
  "USH2": {
   "label": "U.S. Representative, District 2",
   "kind": "partisan",
   "option_a": "D",
   "option_b": "R",
   "pre_election_level": 0.5011,
   "pre_election_p": 0.5143,
   "projected": 0.5011,
   "p10": 0.4602,
   "p90": 0.542,
   "p_a_wins": 0.5145,
   "projected_winner": null,
   "tie": false,
   "awaiting": true,
   "min_coverage": 0.05,
   "coverage_basis": "expected two-party (D+R) votes: 2024 US House D+R in the CD-2 county parts x county midterm drop-off",
   "S_mean": 0.0,
   "S_sd": 0.011650035432492978,
   "counted": 0,
   "counted_a": 0,
   "expected": 364376.00257687224,
   "pct_counted": 0.0,
   "complete": false,
   "counties": [
    {
     "county": "Franklin",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.3385,
     "projected": 0.3379
    },
    {
     "county": "St. Charles",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.4255,
     "projected": 0.4254
    },
    {
     "county": "St. Louis",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5518,
     "projected": 0.5521
    },
    {
     "county": "Warren",
     "region": "stl",
     "pct_reported": 0.0,
     "frac_source": null,
     "complete": false,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.3104,
     "projected": 0.3101
    }
   ],
   "regions": {
    "stl": {
     "counted": 0,
     "pct_counted": 0.0,
     "observed": null,
     "baseline": 0.5011,
     "projected": 0.5013,
     "support_swing": 0.00015
    }
   }
  }
 },
 "batches": {
  "recorded": 0,
  "informing": 0,
  "leans": {},
  "rule": "first post with votes and no precinct reported (or far above its stated fraction) is the absentee batch; lean = batch share minus election-day share, pooled per contest family (D-N6)"
 },
 "seat_shift": {
  "prior_mean": 0.037434,
  "prior_sd": 0.015,
  "mean": 0.0374,
  "sd": 0.015
 },
 "ush2_link": {
  "weight": 0.5,
  "swing": null,
  "basis": "within-county support change at fixed expected two-party weights; point estimate, no propagated uncertainty (D-C6)"
 },
 "vintage": {
  "generated": "2026-11-03T23:57:34+00:00",
  "forecast_generated": "2026-11-03T23:57:33+00:00",
  "inputs_as_of": "2026-11-03"
 },
 "legislature": {
  "projected": [],
  "ties": [],
  "projected_threshold": 0.975,
  "call_threshold": 0.99,
  "call_gate": 0.15,
  "ush2_seats": [],
  "batches": [],
  "seat_estimates": [
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 1,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 2,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 3,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 4,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 5,
    "p_dem": 0.0001,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 6,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 7,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 8,
    "p_dem": 0.0002,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 9,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 10,
    "p_dem": 0.1502,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 11,
    "p_dem": 0.0032,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 12,
    "p_dem": 0.8275,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 13,
    "p_dem": 0.0004,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 14,
    "p_dem": 0.9845,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 15,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 16,
    "p_dem": 0.462,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 17,
    "p_dem": 0.7511,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 18,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 19,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 20,
    "p_dem": 0.0662,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 21,
    "p_dem": 0.977,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 22,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 23,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 24,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 25,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 26,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 27,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 28,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 29,
    "p_dem": 0.9683,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 30,
    "p_dem": 0.7683,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 31,
    "p_dem": 0.2762,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 32,
    "p_dem": 0.0005,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 33,
    "p_dem": 0.0178,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 34,
    "p_dem": 0.9283,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 35,
    "p_dem": 0.9929,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 36,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 37,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 38,
    "p_dem": 0.9658,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 39,
    "p_dem": 0.0027,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 40,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 41,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 42,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 43,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 44,
    "p_dem": 0.0008,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 45,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 46,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 47,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 48,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 49,
    "p_dem": 0.0001,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 50,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 51,
    "p_dem": 0.0001,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 52,
    "p_dem": 0.0001,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 53,
    "p_dem": 0.0001,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 54,
    "p_dem": 0.0001,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 55,
    "p_dem": 0.0001,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 56,
    "p_dem": 0.3755,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 57,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 58,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 59,
    "p_dem": 0.0001,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 60,
    "p_dem": 0.0172,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 61,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 62,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 63,
    "p_dem": 0.0015,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 64,
    "p_dem": 0.0005,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 65,
    "p_dem": 0.0118,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 66,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 67,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 68,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 69,
    "p_dem": 0.0534,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 70,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 71,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 72,
    "p_dem": 0.9998,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 73,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 74,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 75,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 76,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 77,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 78,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 79,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 80,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 81,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 82,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 83,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 84,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 85,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 86,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 87,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 88,
    "p_dem": 0.0277,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 89,
    "p_dem": 0.1114,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 90,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 91,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 92,
    "p_dem": 0.9904,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 93,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 94,
    "p_dem": 0.4603,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 95,
    "p_dem": 0.0638,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 96,
    "p_dem": 0.5152,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 97,
    "p_dem": 0.0068,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 98,
    "p_dem": 0.9809,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 99,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 100,
    "p_dem": 0.7914,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 101,
    "p_dem": 0.46,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 102,
    "p_dem": 0.0009,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 103,
    "p_dem": 0.0952,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 104,
    "p_dem": 0.3713,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 105,
    "p_dem": 0.5452,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 106,
    "p_dem": 0.395,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 107,
    "p_dem": 0.0149,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 108,
    "p_dem": 0.0013,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 109,
    "p_dem": 0.0001,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 110,
    "p_dem": 0.0063,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 111,
    "p_dem": 0.0001,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 112,
    "p_dem": 0.0006,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 113,
    "p_dem": 0.0019,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 114,
    "p_dem": 0.0002,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 115,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 116,
    "p_dem": 0.0001,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 117,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 118,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 119,
    "p_dem": 0.0001,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 120,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 121,
    "p_dem": 0.0001,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 122,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 123,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 124,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 125,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 126,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 127,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 128,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 129,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 130,
    "p_dem": 0.0003,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 131,
    "p_dem": 0.0001,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 132,
    "p_dem": 0.9866,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 133,
    "p_dem": 0.7005,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 134,
    "p_dem": 0.0032,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 135,
    "p_dem": 0.9511,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 136,
    "p_dem": 0.9536,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 137,
    "p_dem": 0.0001,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 138,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 139,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 140,
    "p_dem": 0.0001,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 141,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 142,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 143,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 144,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 145,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 146,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 147,
    "p_dem": 0.0013,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 148,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 149,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 150,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 151,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 152,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 153,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 154,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 155,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 156,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 157,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 158,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 159,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 160,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 161,
    "p_dem": 0.0056,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 162,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "house",
    "district": 163,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "senate",
    "district": 2,
    "p_dem": 0.0013,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "senate",
    "district": 4,
    "p_dem": 1.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "senate",
    "district": 6,
    "p_dem": 0.0001,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "senate",
    "district": 8,
    "p_dem": 0.6417,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "senate",
    "district": 10,
    "p_dem": 0.0001,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "senate",
    "district": 12,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "senate",
    "district": 14,
    "p_dem": 0.9999,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "senate",
    "district": 16,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "senate",
    "district": 18,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "senate",
    "district": 20,
    "p_dem": 0.0001,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "senate",
    "district": 22,
    "p_dem": 0.0009,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "senate",
    "district": 24,
    "p_dem": 0.9967,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "senate",
    "district": 26,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "senate",
    "district": 28,
    "p_dem": 0.0,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "senate",
    "district": 30,
    "p_dem": 0.7276,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "senate",
    "district": 32,
    "p_dem": 0.0001,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   },
   {
    "chamber": "senate",
    "district": 34,
    "p_dem": 0.1341,
    "returns_received": false,
    "pct_counted": null,
    "complete": false,
    "frac_source": null
   }
  ],
  "house": {
   "dem_expected": 60.05,
   "dem_p10": 54,
   "dem_p90": 66,
   "p_rep_supermajority": 0.1057,
   "pre_election": 0.1069,
   "seats": [
    {
     "district": 10,
     "p_dem": 0.1502
    },
    {
     "district": 12,
     "p_dem": 0.8275
    },
    {
     "district": 16,
     "p_dem": 0.462
    },
    {
     "district": 17,
     "p_dem": 0.7511
    },
    {
     "district": 20,
     "p_dem": 0.0662
    },
    {
     "district": 21,
     "p_dem": 0.977
    },
    {
     "district": 29,
     "p_dem": 0.9683
    },
    {
     "district": 30,
     "p_dem": 0.7683
    },
    {
     "district": 31,
     "p_dem": 0.2762
    },
    {
     "district": 34,
     "p_dem": 0.9283
    },
    {
     "district": 38,
     "p_dem": 0.9658
    },
    {
     "district": 56,
     "p_dem": 0.3755
    },
    {
     "district": 69,
     "p_dem": 0.0534
    },
    {
     "district": 88,
     "p_dem": 0.0277
    },
    {
     "district": 89,
     "p_dem": 0.1114
    },
    {
     "district": 94,
     "p_dem": 0.4603
    },
    {
     "district": 95,
     "p_dem": 0.0638
    },
    {
     "district": 96,
     "p_dem": 0.5152
    },
    {
     "district": 100,
     "p_dem": 0.7914
    },
    {
     "district": 101,
     "p_dem": 0.46
    },
    {
     "district": 103,
     "p_dem": 0.0952
    },
    {
     "district": 104,
     "p_dem": 0.3713
    },
    {
     "district": 105,
     "p_dem": 0.5452
    },
    {
     "district": 106,
     "p_dem": 0.395
    },
    {
     "district": 133,
     "p_dem": 0.7005
    },
    {
     "district": 135,
     "p_dem": 0.9511
    },
    {
     "district": 136,
     "p_dem": 0.9536
    }
   ]
  },
  "senate": {
   "dem_expected": 11.5,
   "dem_p10": 10,
   "dem_p90": 12,
   "p_rep_supermajority": 0.4532,
   "pre_election": 0.4605,
   "seats": [
    {
     "district": 8,
     "p_dem": 0.6417
    },
    {
     "district": 30,
     "p_dem": 0.7276
    },
    {
     "district": 34,
     "p_dem": 0.1341
    }
   ]
  },
  "joint": {
   "both": 0.0939,
   "house_only": 0.0118,
   "senate_only": 0.3593,
   "neither": 0.535
  }
 },
 "calls": [],
 "calls_rule": {
  "call_threshold": 0.99,
  "call_gate": 0.15,
  "withdraw_below": 0.975
 }
}