[
 {
  "generated": "2026-11-01T08:50:01+00:00",
  "house": {
   "p_rep_super": 0.133,
   "rep_expected": 104.2,
   "p10": 54,
   "p90": 64
  },
  "senate": {
   "p_rep_super": 0.571,
   "rep_expected": 22.7,
   "p10": 10,
   "p90": 12
  },
  "measures": {
   "A3": 0.402,
   "A6": 0.662,
   "A7": 0.273,
   "A8": 0.731,
   "PropA": 0.174
  },
  "seats_digest": "83ee2c27b9379219",
  "reason": "Initial published forecast"
 },
 {
  "generated": "2026-11-01T16:53:25+00:00",
  "house": {
   "p_rep_super": 0.099,
   "rep_expected": 103.5,
   "p10": 55,
   "p90": 65
  },
  "senate": {
   "p_rep_super": 0.521,
   "rep_expected": 22.6,
   "p10": 10,
   "p90": 12
  },
  "measures": {
   "A3": 0.402,
   "A6": 0.662,
   "A7": 0.273,
   "A8": 0.731,
   "PropA": 0.174
  },
  "congress": {
   "MO-2": [
    0.431,
    0.495
   ]
  },
  "seats_digest": "7d0e4c516b9aa1a3",
  "reason": "D-C5: MO-2 district polls inform the legislative shared error"
 },
 {
  "generated": "2026-11-01T17:40:39+00:00",
  "house": {
   "p_rep_super": 0.099,
   "rep_expected": 103.5,
   "p10": 55,
   "p90": 65
  },
  "senate": {
   "p_rep_super": 0.521,
   "rep_expected": 22.6,
   "p10": 10,
   "p90": 12
  },
  "measures": {
   "A3": 0.399,
   "A6": 0.785,
   "A7": 0.273,
   "A8": 0.731,
   "PropA": 0.287
  },
  "congress": {
   "MO-2": [
    0.437,
    0.495
   ]
  },
  "seats_digest": "ae1c4cf497ae7d75"
 },
 {
  "generated": "2026-11-01T19:33:12+00:00",
  "house": {
   "p_rep_super": 0.099,
   "rep_expected": 103.5,
   "p10": 55,
   "p90": 65
  },
  "senate": {
   "p_rep_super": 0.521,
   "rep_expected": 22.6,
   "p10": 10,
   "p90": 12
  },
  "measures": {
   "A3": 0.399,
   "A6": 0.785,
   "A7": 0.273,
   "A8": 0.731,
   "PropA": 0.287
  },
  "congress": {
   "MO-2": [
    0.439,
    0.496
   ]
  },
  "seats_digest": "ae1c4cf497ae7d75"
 },
 {
  "generated": "2026-11-01T20:40:10+00:00",
  "house": {
   "p_rep_super": 0.099,
   "rep_expected": 103.5,
   "p10": 55,
   "p90": 65
  },
  "senate": {
   "p_rep_super": 0.521,
   "rep_expected": 22.6,
   "p10": 10,
   "p90": 12
  },
  "measures": {
   "A3": 0.399,
   "A6": 0.785,
   "A7": 0.273,
   "A8": 0.731,
   "PropA": 0.287
  },
  "congress": {
   "MO-2": [
    0.439,
    0.496
   ]
  },
  "seats_digest": "ae1c4cf497ae7d75"
 },
 {
  "generated": "2026-11-01T21:08:55+00:00",
  "house": {
   "p_rep_super": 0.099,
   "rep_expected": 103.5,
   "p10": 55,
   "p90": 65
  },
  "senate": {
   "p_rep_super": 0.521,
   "rep_expected": 22.6,
   "p10": 10,
   "p90": 12
  },
  "measures": {
   "A3": 0.399,
   "A6": 0.785,
   "A7": 0.273,
   "A8": 0.731,
   "PropA": 0.287
  },
  "congress": {
   "MO-2": [
    0.439,
    0.496
   ]
  },
  "seats_digest": "ae1c4cf497ae7d75"
 },
 {
  "generated": "2026-11-01T21:56:03+00:00",
  "house": {
   "p_rep_super": 0.099,
   "rep_expected": 103.5,
   "p10": 55,
   "p90": 65
  },
  "senate": {
   "p_rep_super": 0.521,
   "rep_expected": 22.6,
   "p10": 10,
   "p90": 12
  },
  "measures": {
   "A3": 0.399,
   "A6": 0.785,
   "A7": 0.273,
   "A8": 0.731,
   "PropA": 0.287
  },
  "congress": {
   "MO-2": [
    0.439,
    0.495
   ]
  },
  "seats_digest": "ae1c4cf497ae7d75"
 },
 {
  "generated": "2026-11-02T01:29:01+00:00",
  "house": {
   "p_rep_super": 0.099,
   "rep_expected": 103.5,
   "p10": 55,
   "p90": 65
  },
  "senate": {
   "p_rep_super": 0.521,
   "rep_expected": 22.6,
   "p10": 10,
   "p90": 12
  },
  "measures": {
   "A3": 0.399,
   "A6": 0.785,
   "A7": 0.273,
   "A8": 0.731,
   "PropA": 0.287
  },
  "congress": {
   "MO-2": [
    0.437,
    0.495
   ]
  },
  "seats_digest": "ae1c4cf497ae7d75"
 },
 {
  "generated": "2026-11-02T09:22:45+00:00",
  "house": {
   "p_rep_super": 0.099,
   "rep_expected": 103.5,
   "p10": 55,
   "p90": 65
  },
  "senate": {
   "p_rep_super": 0.521,
   "rep_expected": 22.6,
   "p10": 10,
   "p90": 12
  },
  "measures": {
   "A3": 0.399,
   "A6": 0.785,
   "A7": 0.273,
   "A8": 0.731,
   "PropA": 0.287
  },
  "congress": {
   "MO-2": [
    0.434,
    0.495
   ]
  },
  "seats_digest": "ae1c4cf497ae7d75"
 },
 {
  "generated": "2026-11-02T17:28:14+00:00",
  "house": {
   "p_rep_super": 0.087,
   "rep_expected": 103.2,
   "p10": 55,
   "p90": 65
  },
  "senate": {
   "p_rep_super": 0.458,
   "rep_expected": 22.5,
   "p10": 10,
   "p90": 12
  },
  "measures": {
   "A3": 0.399,
   "A6": 0.785,
   "A7": 0.273,
   "A8": 0.731,
   "PropA": 0.287
  },
  "congress": {
   "MO-2": [
    0.434,
    0.495
   ]
  },
  "seats_digest": "cb980c97f1a15474",
  "reason": "D-25: Senate-district polls condition the seat model"
 },
 {
  "generated": "2026-11-02T17:57:51+00:00",
  "house": {
   "p_rep_super": 0.088,
   "rep_expected": 103.2,
   "p10": 55,
   "p90": 65
  },
  "senate": {
   "p_rep_super": 0.458,
   "rep_expected": 22.5,
   "p10": 10,
   "p90": 12
  },
  "measures": {
   "A3": 0.399,
   "A6": 0.785,
   "A7": 0.273,
   "A8": 0.731,
   "PropA": 0.287
  },
  "congress": {
   "MO-2": [
    0.434,
    0.495
   ]
  },
  "seats_digest": "48af13bda908fd21",
  "reason": "D-26 Auditor polls, D-27 defensive money, SLU check"
 },
 {
  "generated": "2026-11-02T18:04:09+00:00",
  "house": {
   "p_rep_super": 0.089,
   "rep_expected": 103.2,
   "p10": 55,
   "p90": 65
  },
  "senate": {
   "p_rep_super": 0.46,
   "rep_expected": 22.5,
   "p10": 10,
   "p90": 12
  },
  "measures": {
   "A3": 0.399,
   "A6": 0.785,
   "A7": 0.273,
   "A8": 0.731,
   "PropA": 0.287
  },
  "congress": {
   "MO-2": [
    0.438,
    0.495
   ]
  },
  "seats_digest": "f83017971d1ec2af",
  "reason": "Task E: Nov 2 generic ballot; docs for D-25 to D-28"
 },
 {
  "generated": "2026-11-02T20:18:53+00:00",
  "house": {
   "p_rep_super": 0.089,
   "rep_expected": 103.2,
   "p10": 55,
   "p90": 65
  },
  "senate": {
   "p_rep_super": 0.46,
   "rep_expected": 22.5,
   "p10": 10,
   "p90": 12
  },
  "measures": {
   "A3": 0.399,
   "A6": 0.785,
   "A7": 0.273,
   "A8": 0.731,
   "PropA": 0.287
  },
  "congress": {
   "MO-2": [
    0.438,
    0.495
   ]
  },
  "seats_digest": "f83017971d1ec2af"
 },
 {
  "generated": "2026-11-03T02:53:04+00:00",
  "house": {
   "p_rep_super": 0.089,
   "rep_expected": 103.2,
   "p10": 55,
   "p90": 65
  },
  "senate": {
   "p_rep_super": 0.462,
   "rep_expected": 22.5,
   "p10": 10,
   "p90": 12
  },
  "measures": {
   "A3": 0.399,
   "A6": 0.785,
   "A7": 0.273,
   "A8": 0.731,
   "PropA": 0.287
  },
  "congress": {
   "MO-2": [
    0.441,
    0.496
   ]
  },
  "seats_digest": "a9000f0d1f35fbee"
 },
 {
  "generated": "2026-11-03T04:10:55+00:00",
  "house": {
   "p_rep_super": 0.089,
   "rep_expected": 103.2,
   "p10": 55,
   "p90": 65
  },
  "senate": {
   "p_rep_super": 0.462,
   "rep_expected": 22.5,
   "p10": 10,
   "p90": 12
  },
  "measures": {
   "A3": 0.345,
   "A6": 0.702,
   "A7": 0.273,
   "A8": 0.731,
   "PropA": 0.202
  },
  "congress": {
   "MO-2": [
    0.442,
    0.496
   ]
  },
  "seats_digest": "a9000f0d1f35fbee"
 },
 {
  "generated": "2026-11-03T04:35:14+00:00",
  "house": {
   "p_rep_super": 0.107,
   "rep_expected": 103.0,
   "p10": 54,
   "p90": 66
  },
  "senate": {
   "p_rep_super": 0.461,
   "rep_expected": 22.5,
   "p10": 10,
   "p90": 12
  },
  "measures": {
   "A3": 0.304,
   "A6": 0.702,
   "A7": 0.273,
   "A8": 0.731,
   "PropA": 0.202
  },
  "congress": {
   "MO-2": [
    0.442,
    0.496
   ]
  },
  "seats_digest": "fa7a59b67611ed84"
 },
 {
  "generated": "2026-11-03T10:44:49+00:00",
  "house": {
   "p_rep_super": 0.107,
   "rep_expected": 103.0,
   "p10": 54,
   "p90": 66
  },
  "senate": {
   "p_rep_super": 0.461,
   "rep_expected": 22.5,
   "p10": 10,
   "p90": 12
  },
  "measures": {
   "A3": 0.304,
   "A6": 0.702,
   "A7": 0.273,
   "A8": 0.731,
   "PropA": 0.202
  },
  "congress": {
   "MO-2": [
    0.443,
    0.496
   ]
  },
  "seats_digest": "fa7a59b67611ed84"
 },
 {
  "generated": "2026-11-03T18:24:08+00:00",
  "house": {
   "p_rep_super": 0.107,
   "rep_expected": 103.0,
   "p10": 54,
   "p90": 66
  },
  "senate": {
   "p_rep_super": 0.461,
   "rep_expected": 22.5,
   "p10": 10,
   "p90": 12
  },
  "measures": {
   "A3": 0.304,
   "A6": 0.702,
   "A7": 0.273,
   "A8": 0.731,
   "PropA": 0.202
  },
  "congress": {
   "MO-2": [
    0.442,
    0.496
   ]
  },
  "seats_digest": "fa7a59b67611ed84"
 },
 {
  "generated": "2026-11-03T23:57:33+00:00",
  "house": {
   "p_rep_super": 0.107,
   "rep_expected": 103.0,
   "p10": 54,
   "p90": 66
  },
  "senate": {
   "p_rep_super": 0.461,
   "rep_expected": 22.5,
   "p10": 10,
   "p90": 12
  },
  "measures": {
   "A3": 0.304,
   "A6": 0.702,
   "A7": 0.273,
   "A8": 0.731,
   "PropA": 0.202
  },
  "congress": {
   "MO-2": [
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    0.501
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  },
  "seats_digest": "fa7a59b67611ed84"
 }
]